Only a packet capture can show what's going on... can you try the following:
Download and install
wireshark:
Start the application and select Capture Options (shot1).
Next Select your active network adapter, type in filter "
port 80" without the quotes (shot2) and press start.
Now "Check for updates" after that is finished press CTRL - E to stop the capture.
In the Filter box type
http and press the apply button next to it (shot3).
Now the server responses you see here are
Any other response is not good, 404 Not Found for example show's that the server is missing the requested file.
Please post a screenshot what happens on your system during update.